Ce marché s'est résolu: Farage 60–70%
Résolu: 14 août 2026, 11:48
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 14 août 2026, 11:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Farage 60–70% 100%+62.5ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
78,6 k €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+64.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 jours
Obsolète8 juil. 26, 15:2430 juin 27, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
Farage 50–60%8%
Farage 60–70%100%
Farage 40–50%1%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
- This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
