Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
3.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionLatin America17j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
41-44% 45.9%+17.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
14,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
16 sept. 26, 02:26 UTC5 oct. 26, 02:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurBrazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
LimitlessBrazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)
KalshiRègles
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva in the first round of this election.
- The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market will resolve based on the official vote count.