Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 88%-0.0%
Qualite du marche
60 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
13,9 €
Liquidité
13,7 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
86.0% / 89.0%
Spread
3.5%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
-4.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
24 oct. 25, 19:5625 juin 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes88%
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
2.0%4mo
-2.0%84%
16%
44 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total637,1 €
Volume 24h10,9 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.