Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
38.5% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlectionBusiness & Corporate
PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Yes (100%)
Résolu: 26 juin 2026, 07:04
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
Yes
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
62%
ConsensusProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 100%+0.4%
Qualite du marche
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,6 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+40.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 29 jours
Obsolète24 oct. 25, 19:4825 juin 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
Yes100%
No0%
100%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· Yes
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 100% | — | 2,6 k € | 0 € | il y a 29 jours | |
 Kalshi61% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 91% | — | 0 € | 41,5 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
3mo
91%
9%
49 • Faible qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeProche de la résolution
Volume total279,9 k €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California.
- If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.