Probabilité implicite actuelle
Grüne 77%+2.5pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
154,8 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
62.0% / 92.0%
Écart
30.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+17.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
20 août 26, 18:18 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Grüne” if Grüne wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than SPD in the specified election.
- This market will resolve to “SPD” if SPD wins more valid second votes (Zweitstimme) than Grüne in the specified election.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if both Grüne and SPD receive exactly the same number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
- This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by each specified party.
- Valid second votes will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? ?
- Polymarket cote Grüne à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: More Votes to Grüne or SPD? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.