Probabilité implicite actuelle
Party A 50%En tête parmi 24 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,4 k €
Liquidité
78,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
30.0% / 33.0%
Spread
10.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+4.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
8 juil. 26, 1:1520 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Party A50%
Tendance du volume
$3.9k8 juil.20j de données27 juil.
Marchés Associés
Next French Presidential Election
98,1 k €Marine Le Pen: 31%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which party will win the second Clacton by-election from now?
219,5 €Reform UK: 64.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will be the next leader of the Labour Party after Andy Burnham?
170,4 €Angela Rayner: 9.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Andy Burnham lead Labour to the next general election?
87,8 €Oui: 74.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
UK snap election announced?
50,1 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
0 €Oui: 5%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTITActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.