Probabilité implicite actuelle
AfD 29.5%-3.0ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
75 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
1,4 k €
Liquidité
61,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
8 juil. 26, 01:15 UTC20 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketVictoria parliamentary election: 3rd place?
KalshiRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Berlin state election?
FutuurSwedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
KalshiRègles
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
- If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Berlin State Election: 3rd Place ?
- Polymarket cote AfD à 29% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Berlin State Election: 3rd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Berlin State Election: 3rd Place doit être résolu le 20 septembre 2026.
- Comment Berlin State Election: 3rd Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- Où Berlin State Election: 3rd Place est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Kalshi.