PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Rui Costa 79.8%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,6 k €
Liquidité
88,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+2.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
17 août 26, 09:56 UTC5 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia
PolymarketSão Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketPernambuco Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Bahia (BA)?
Manifold MarketsBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 198,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.3pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Volume total
- 32,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 999,4 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Volume total
- 9,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 587 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-2.1pt55.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt43.6%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-5.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate+4.0pt31.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.8pt7.8%
+1 résultats de plus
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-4.0pt68.3%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt31.7%
- Volume total
- 5,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 510,2 k €
- Alaska Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Next French Presidential Election
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place ?
- Polymarket cote Rui Costa à 79.8% au 25 septembre 2026.
- Quand Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place doit être résolu le 5 octobre 2026.
- Comment Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.