2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
1.4% (24h)SpaceOne-OffTrade PolicyGéopolitiqueMiddle East1mo
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 1%-0.0%
Qualite du marche
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidité
2,1 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
0.2% / 2.6%
Spread
1200.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
25 nov. 25, 22:001 sept. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes1%
Tendance du volume
$103 juil.16j de données24 juil.
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Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope.
- Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year.
- Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first two quarters of 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” reports for Q1 & Q2 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx).