Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 72.2%
Prévisionnistes
94
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète21 févr. 23, 20:00 UTC31 déc. 30, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028
Manifold MarketsWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
PolymarketZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhere will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?
KalshiWill Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Market resolves yes if Zelenskyy is still the president of Ukraine while Putin is not president of Russia anymore, and no if it's the other way around.
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
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+38 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 72% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will Zelenskyy outlast Putin as president? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Market resolves yes if Zelenskyy is still the president of Ukraine while Putin is not president of Russia anymore, and no if it's the other way around.