Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 57%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 26, 20:59 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Comcast/Xfinity partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing
- WordPress powers something like 40% of the web.
- It's arguably more "critical software infrastructure" than half the named partners.
- JPMorganChase is in there — a bank — but not the CMS that runs nearly half the internet? The Linux Foundation is a partner, and WordPress runs on Linux, but WordPress itself has its own massive attack surface: plugins, themes, the core PHP codebase, the REST API, xmlrpc, wp-admin — it's one of the most targeted pieces of software on earth.
- And WordPress's security model is, to be blunt, a mess.
- The plugin ecosystem is the real vulnerability surface, and it's largely maintained by independent developers with wildly varying security practices.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 132,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 322,4 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will Wordpress partner with Project Glasswing by EOY2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : https://www.anthropic.com/glasswing