Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 77.1%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète19 août 26, 10:02 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a Metal Gear Solid movie release by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy reveal "Gear 6" or a new major physical transformation in One Piece by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy find the One Piece in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketNext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiHighest grossing movie in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, in the official canonical One Piece manga written by Eiichiro Oda, Luffy achieves or uses a transformation explicitly named "Gear 6", "Gear Sixth", or "Gear VI" (or the Japanese equivalent such as ギア6 / ギアセクス / ギア シックス) before the series officially concludes.
- If the One Piece manga ends without Luffy ever using a transformation officially designated as "Gear 6" (or its equivalents), this market will resolve to NO.
- Resolution Details:
- Source of Truth: Official Shueisha Weekly Shonen Jump releases and/or official One Piece manga volume tankōbon.
- Anime-only episodes, non-canon movies, video games, promotional materials, or fan works do not count toward a YES resolution.
Marchés ouverts
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 342,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 91,2 k €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 182,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 90,8 k €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 résultats de plus
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 264,6 k €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 84,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria