Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.8%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète19 mai 26, 21:21 UTC31 déc. 55, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an archaeological discovery is officially confirmed by a reputable academic institution, government heritage agency (such as the National Cultural Heritage Administration of China), or a peer-reviewed archaeological journal to be the remains or grave of Yuan Shao by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2055.
- If no such discovery is confirmed by this date, or if a discovery is claimed but not verified by the aforementioned authorities, the market resolves to NO.
- In the event of conflicting expert reports, the consensus of established archaeological bodies will determine the outcome.
- Yuan Shao (died 202 CE) was a powerful warlord during the late Eastern Han dynasty and a central figure in the events leading to the Three Kingdoms period in China.
- Despite his historical prominence, the location of his tomb remains unknown.