Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 95%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète23 août 23, 09:38 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will United Kingdom join BRICS before 2030?
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KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Wales is no longer represented in or governed by the government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland by close date.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Wales is no longer represented in or governed by the government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland by close date.