Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 80.3%
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète12 janv. 25, 23:25 UTC20 janv. 25, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Vivek Ramaswamy Hold an Official Position in Trump’s White House?
Manifold MarketsWill Vivek Ramaswamy be the next Governor of Ohio?
Manifold MarketsWill Vivek Ramaswamy ever be elected President?
Manifold MarketsWill Vivek Ramaswamy (R) be elected as the United States Governor for Ohio in the 2026 gubernatorial election?
ForecastExPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRègles
Background Vivek Ramaswamy is a former biotech executive and author who ran for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.
- He suspended his campaign on January 15, 2024, after finishing fourth in the Iowa caucuses and subsequently endorsed Donald Trump.
- While he has been appointed to lead Trump's proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), this would be an appointed rather than elected position.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Vivek Ramaswamy wins any election for a government position at any level (local, state, or federal) at any point in the future.
- This includes but is not limited to:
- City council member
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Vivek Ramaswamy ever hold an elected government position? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Vivek Ramaswamy ever hold an elected government position? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy ever hold an elected government position? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2125.
- Comment Will Vivek Ramaswamy ever hold an elected government position? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Background Vivek Ramaswamy is a former biotech executive and author who ran for the 2024 Republican presidential nomination.