Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 83.2%
Prévisionnistes
42
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète17 juin 23, 06:20 UTC31 déc. 29, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tether collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUSDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
KalshiWill USDT market cap hit $200B by which date?
PolymarketWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
PolymarketWill Tether collapse before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether collapse before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRègles
YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.
- Will use price data from one of the top exchanges at the time (e.g. today in 2023 I would use Coinbase).
- Background: USDT is a stablecoin managed by Tether (company).
- There have been rumors for a long time that Tether may not have enough assets to fully back the USDT stablecoins distributed in the crypto-economy (~$80B).
- If it were found that tether insolvent, or something else happened to shake confidence in USDT's redeemability to USD, then the price could depeg.
- I picked 1 week so it would indicate a serious issue, i.e. probably irredeemable reputational damage and likely leading to users abandoning the stablecoin.
Marchés ouverts
StablecoinPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 496,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 381,7 k €
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.6pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000+0.1pt99%
- 74,000+0.5pt98%
- 76,00092%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.3pt99%
- 72,000+0.3pt99%
- 74,000-0.3pt96%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBitcoin price on September 9?
- 78,000-80,000+16.5pt60.2%
- 76,000-78,000+4.5pt26.2%
- 80,000-82,000-13.5pt10.7%
+8 résultats de plus
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 10?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- Bitcoin price on September 12?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
- Total commitments for the Linera public sale on Sonar
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Ethereum price on September 9?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 83% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.