Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:50 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.1%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète17 juin 23, 06:20 UTC31 déc. 29, 11:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will USDT de-peg to less than 0.9 USD (90 cents) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether ever see a haircut?
Manifold MarketsUSDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026?
KalshiWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
PolymarketWill USDT market cap hit $200B by which date?
PolymarketRègles
YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.
- Will use price data from one of the top exchanges at the time (e.g. today in 2023 I would use Coinbase).
- Background: USDT is a stablecoin managed by Tether (company).
- There have been rumors for a long time that Tether may not have enough assets to fully back the USDT stablecoins distributed in the crypto-economy (~$80B).
- If it were found that tether insolvent, or something else happened to shake confidence in USDT's redeemability to USD, then the price could depeg.
- I picked 1 week so it would indicate a serious issue, i.e. probably irredeemable reputational damage and likely leading to users abandoning the stablecoin.