Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffCryptoFedStablecoinTokenization / RWA3mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 91%
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
3,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
1.2% / 7.8%
Écart
6.6 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
3 déc. 25, 23:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiWill blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
KalshiRègles
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
- The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
- The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
- The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
- If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHIHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 4.86% or above99%
- 4.88% or above99%
- 4.91% or above99%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25 k €
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.34% or above99%
+17 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 16,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 14,7 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 4.35% or above+21.0pt99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 14,2 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.91%+64.0pt94%
- 4.94%+70.0pt93%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.69% or above99%
- 4.65% or above99%
- 4.71% or above99%
+22 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 8,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,5 k €
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 91% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.