Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 91.9%
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète9 déc. 25, 05:22 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.2% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExIf the US Unemployment Rate exceeds 2.2% in December 2026, will the United States economy enter a recession by the end of Q3 2027?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in November 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will resolve based on official US Data.
- If that is not available will use whatever experts think is the next most reliable thing.
- Update 2025-12-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if the unemployment rate crosses above 6% at any point during 2026 (not based on the average for the year).
