Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes?
ChinaOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51.2%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 17:53 UTC31 mai 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 4.0 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- UC Rusal. 2024 actual 3.992 Mt; flat through sanctions period.
- The 4.0 Mt strike for 2028 reflects steady-state operations; deviations depend on geopolitical reset of end-market access rather than capacity changes.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- UC Rusal annual report and interim results https://rusal.ru/en/investors/
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 51% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes? doit être résolu le 31 mai 2029.
- Comment Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 4.0 million tonnes.