Will Trump/Elon actually decrease deficit spending by more than 1T?
One-OffPolitique américaineMacro et économie2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.4%
Prévisionnistes
102
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète6 nov. 24, 16:45 UTC1 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
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Règles
According to https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide, we spend 6.75T per year, up 10% from last year.
- We take in as taxes 4.92T as tax revenue.
- Elon musk has said that he wants to cut the govt spending by "at least 2t" https://thehill.com/business/4966789-elon-musk-skepticism-2-trillion-spending-cuts/, https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/elon-musk-claims-he-can-cut-2-trillion-from-us-budget-at-donald-trump-rally/articleshow/114672947.cms?from=mdr .
- "The amount by which spending exceeded revenue, $1.83 trillion in 2024, is referred to as deficit spending."
- Resolution: By the end of Trump's term, will the quoted number on fiscaldata.treasury.gov for deficit spending be less than 0.83T
