Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.9%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète1 avr. 25, 18:20 UTC30 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump say he is candidate for a third term as president during the year of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be inaugurated to a THIRD term as the US President?
Manifold MarketsWhich case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiKathy Hochul to finish her term as governor of New York?
FutuurRègles
This market resolves yes if Donald John Trump is elected president of the united states in 2028
- Things that resolve yes: Courts rule that the non-consecutive argument is legit and Donald John Trump is elected for a third term.
- Vance legally changing his name to Donald John Trump and then resigning to give the office to Donald John Trump.
- Vance running with Trump as VP and then resigning right after.
- Democracy is overthrown and Donald John Trump elects Donald John Trump for another term in office.
- Any shenanigans in general that cause him to be hold office after his term ends (even if separated by a little break due to a Vance swearing in and resigning type beat)
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 95% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) doit être résolu le 30 novembre 2028.
- Comment Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed) est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves yes if Donald John Trump is elected president of the united states in 2028