Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 25 oct. 2026, 20:05 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 51%
Prévisionnistes
44
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 25, 09:27 UTC1 févr. 29, 13:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This market will resolve YES if, during the second term as President (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), Donald Trump makes public statements or communications that positively promote or advocate for the possibility of defaulting on U.S. federal debt obligations, or celebrates an upcoming or recent default event.
- This includes:
- Public speeches
- Social media posts
- Official statements
- Media interviews
