Will Trump threaten to restrict British access to Trident ballistic missiles before 2029?
Politique américaineOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.1%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
17 févr. 25, 06:00 UTC31 déc. 28, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The UK's nuclear deterrent relies heavily on US-supplied Trident ballistic missiles through the 1958 Mutual Defence Agreement (MDA).
- Unlike conventional weapons, the UK does not own these missiles outright but instead has title to a portion of a shared pool with the US Navy.
- This cooperation has been a cornerstone of US-UK defense relations for over 60 years.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Donald Trump makes statements before 2029 that I, a reasonable centre-left British observer who will not bet, understand to contain an explicit or implicit threat to restrict British access to Trident missiles.
- Some examples of implicit threats:
