Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète17 sept. 26, 04:52 UTC30 avr. 27, 04:51 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will "[Fiction] [Comic] Effective Altruism and Rati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsIn Jan 2027, Building Effective Altruism (or similar) will be on 80,000 hours top priority list
Manifold MarketsEffective Altruism stock [permanent]
Manifold MarketsWill the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Trump say in November?
KalshiWhat will Trump say in November?
PolymarketRègles
Update 2026-10-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Referring to effective altruists as a group will count for a YES resolution.