Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNeither 92.1%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète23 juin 25, 08:52 UTC20 janv. 29, 07:18 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Increase if, by the end of Trump's second term, the net effect of all immigration-related legislation he signs into law is a projected increase of at least 10% in annual green card issuances (specifically because of the legislation).
- Decrease if the projected effect is a decrease of at least 10%.
- Neither if the net projected effect is -10% to +10%, or no relevant law is signed.
- Resolution is based on projections from nonpartisan congressional sources like CBO, or consensus among think tanks etc. (with differing politics between them, if possible).
- I will not bet on this market.
