Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.5%
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 26, 22:48 UTC21 janv. 29, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill the next mayor of NYC be indicted while in office?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
The market resolves YES if Trump awards himself the Medal of Honor while he is in office.
- The market resolves NO if he does not.
- If he stays president after the 20th of January, 2029, I will extend the question's length.
- In his first term, Trump recounted trying to give himself the medal after visiting Iraq but was talked out of it by his advisers.
- Trump has suggested changing the law so he can give himself the Congressional Medal of Honor.
- Edit: If he has someone else award him the medal, I would count that, too
