Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolitiqueÉlection2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.5%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 23, 22:15 UTC21 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
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Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.
- Current and past presidents who get re-elected don't count.
- Resolves YES if a scandal about sexual impropriety that happened in office comes out that hits many of the major news sources while they're still in office, otherwise NO after their term(s) are finished.
- As this might resolve after their first term if they don't get re-elected, this won't be re-resolved if they go on to serve split terms and have such a scandal in their second unconnected term.
- This question's close date is likely to be extended by future election results.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will the next POTUS be involved in a sex scandal while in office? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Only resolves to the next new president after Biden.