Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?
Politique américaineOne-OffCriminalité et justice2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.3%
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Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète12 juin 23, 13:50 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
I included home confinement in part because of the practical problems of sentencing someone statutorily entitled to Secret Service protection to prison.
- Any sentence based on conviction in a criminal case counts.
- Pretrial confinement does not count (although this would be extremely unlikely anyway).
