Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.3%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète12 juin 23, 13:50 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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I included home confinement in part because of the practical problems of sentencing someone statutorily entitled to Secret Service protection to prison.
- Any sentence based on conviction in a criminal case counts.
- Pretrial confinement does not count (although this would be extremely unlikely anyway).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Trump be sentenced by any US criminal court to a term of incarceration or home confinement by 12/2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I included home confinement in part because of the practical problems of sentencing someone statutorily entitled to Secret Service protection to prison.