Will Trump be impeached and removed from office during his second term?
One-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionCriminalité et justicePolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 19:18 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.6%
Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard8 janv. 26, 15:34 UTC20 janv. 29, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
In what year will Trump be impeached AND removed from office?
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KalshiHow many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- No President has ever been impeached and removed from office.
- This market resolves YES if Trump is both impeached by the House and convicted by the Senate during his second term (January 20, 2025 – January 20, 2029).
- While it only takes a simple majority of the House to impeach, a vote of two-thirds of the Senate is required to convict.
- If the President is removed, the Vice-President assumes the Presidency.
- Resolution will be determined by official congressional records at Congress.gov.
