Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 79.3%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète6 avr. 26, 18:26 UTC31 mars 27, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -8.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed 0.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRègles
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 70%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 70% for 2026 NO if: TOPCon share < 70% for 2026
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2026? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.
- Comment Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2026 exceeds 70%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.