Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.2%
Prévisionnistes
48
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète28 août 23, 00:00 UTC1 janv. 28, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Real Estate Prices in the US increase by at least 25% by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill Dubai Real Estate Index reach a new all-time high in 2026?
LimitlessWhat level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?
LimitlessWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,100,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExWill US Housing Starts exceed 1,200,000 in September 2026? (Real estate)?
ForecastExRègles
Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s:
- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/yourmoney/property/article-12446057/Why-house-prices-set-soar-two-years-CRASH-claims-expert-accurately-predicted-property-market-collapse-2008-1990s.html
- He's currently predicting we'll see a major real estate crash in 2026.
- This market resolves YES if three conditions are held:
- Real estate prices peak in 2026
- Real estate prices at the end of 2026 are below the peak
Marchés ouverts
Macro & Economy
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No92%
- Yes+2.0pt8%
- Volume total
- 2,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 36,2 k €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+7.0pt59%
- Above $4.80+11.0pt45%
- Above $5.00+5.0pt35%
+10 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+1.1pt52%
- 8,200 or above+6.5pt28%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1 M €
KALSHIWill the S&P finish positive this year?
- Yes-3.0pt84%
- No16%
- Volume total
- 919,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 8,7 k €
KALSHIUS SPR level for the week ending September 11, 2026
- Above 280M91%
- Above 281M91%
- Above 286M7%
+9 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 7,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 7,8 k €
KALSHIPoland rate decision in October
- Maintain current rate+6.0pt82.3%
- Hike 1-25bps+2.0pt7.8%
- Cut 1-25bps-1.0pt5.9%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Port of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- How high will gas prices in California get this year?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Visitors to Florida in 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Fear & Greed Index on Sep 11, 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 11 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will there be a real estate crash in the US in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Fred Harrison has a theory called the "18 year land cycle", and claims to have correctly predicted the housing crash in 2008 and one in the 1990s: