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Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
30 mai 24, 15:05 UTC31 déc. 50, 22:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a moon base by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a permanently inhabited Moon base by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Moon base by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketRègles
resolved YES, if there is a base on the lunar surface permanently inhabitated by humans for at least 3 months, and all revenues of the base exceed all costs.
- Possible costs:
- Initial construction, launch, salary, maintanance, etc. - but not the basic research & developement to make a moon base possible.
- Possible revenues:
- mining exports (such as helium 3), research contracts, space tourism, satellite launch contracts, real estate, manufacturing, refueling, entertainment, etc.
