Will there be a notable book-burning event on a US college campus before 2030?
One-OffSociété et culturePolitique américaineCriminalité et justice3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 74.4%
Non 74.4%Prévisionnistes
46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard13 déc. 22, 20:48 UTC1 janv. 30, 08:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
Must be intentional.
- An accidental library fire doesn't count.
- A single person burning a few of their own books doesn't count.
- Must involve several people and a large number of books, somewhere public or semi-public.
- Only events after market creation.
