Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 76.3%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 23, 14:57 UTC1 nov. 35, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiWhat will the 51st state of the United States of America be?
Manifold MarketsRègles
@/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d
- @/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e
- @/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e-5d31e0e1cfd2
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2035.
- Comment Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : @/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d