Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 82% au 27 octobre 2026.

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Oui 82%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 33 minutes

2 mars 24, 10:09 UTC1 janv. 40, 22:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

The goal is to predict when the adoption S-curve of share of electric car sales will reach its steepest point.

This will be based on the data provided by OurWorldInData.
The current graph is shown below:
[image]The steepest point is currently 2020-2021 (9% - 4%) = 5%. 2021-2022 has achieved the same steepness.
The final change that will be included in the resolution is 2029-2030.
If this change or any of the previous changes is the largest over the entire curve the market will resolve YES.