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Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics Régulation1a

Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibré

Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 67.2%

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12

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binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 13 heures

Obsolète

9 févr. 26, 22:48 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC

Tendances

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Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the White House makes an official public announcement stating that ICE deportations have exceeded 1 million by December 31, 2027.
The announcement must come from official White House communications (press releases, statements from the President, DHS Secretary, or other authorized administration officials) and be verifiable through official government sources such as whitehouse.gov or dhs.gov.
For resolution purposes, "deportations" refers to formal removals as reported by the Department of Homeland Security's Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), consistent with how the administration has publicly reported these figures.
The market resolves NO if no such announcement is made by EOY 2027, or if official figures show cumulative deportations remain at or below 1 million.
The Department of Homeland Security's FY 2026 budget justification requests funding increases "to support the Administration's strategy of 1,000,000 removals per year." As of January 2026, the Trump administration reported nearly 3 million illegal aliens have left the U.S., including an estimated 2.2 million self-deportations and more than 675,000 deportations.

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Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 ?: Manifold Markets cote No à 67% au 8 septembre 2026.
Quand Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 sera-t-il résolu ?: Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
Comment Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 est-il réglé ?: Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria

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