Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDismissed on procedural grounds 56.5%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
31 mars 26, 21:21 UTC31 déc. 27, 22:16 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWhite House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Congress pass legislation explicitly authorizing or funding the White House Ballroom project by Jan 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next White House press secretary?
PredictItRègles
Buckets here are trying their best to be mutually exclusive.
- Resolves to whatever happens in the highest / last court to rule on this case (NTHP v the US)
- Trump / Defendants Win on Merits (Executive Authority Affirmed): The highest court rules that the administration does possess the statutory or constitutional authority to proceed with the privately funded construction, permanently lifting the injunction based on the merits of the case.
- the named outcome (Injunction Upheld): The highest court to issue a final ruling affirms Judge Leon's core argument—that the executive branch lacks the authority to execute this specific project without express Congressional authorization.
- The injunction becomes permanent.
- Dismissal on Procedural Grounds (Standing / Justiciability): An appellate court or the Supreme Court throws the case out without ruling on the underlying executive power question.
