Will the war in Ukraine end before the Iranian war?
US PoliticsOne-OffGéopolitiqueMiddle EastRussia / Ukraine1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 85.2%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète6 mars 26, 02:35 UTC13 juin 28, 01:33 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Manifold Marketswill Russia win the war in Ukraine
Manifold MarketsWill the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the Ukraine-Russia war ends before the US-Israeli war with Iran ends.
- This market resolves NO if the Iran war ends first or if both wars end on the same date.
- Resolution is based on a formal ceasefire agreement (Lasting at least 2 weeks without branching), a peace treaty, or an official declaration by the Ukrainian and Russian governments that active hostilities have ceased.
- The same applies to the Israeli/US - Iranian governments.
- The ending date for this market will be the date that either war ends.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the war in Ukraine end before the Iranian war? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the war in Ukraine end before the Iranian war? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the war in Ukraine end before the Iranian war? doit être résolu le 13 juin 2028.
- Comment Will the war in Ukraine end before the Iranian war? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria