Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the the NJ prediction market case by the end of 2026?
Politique américaineOne-OffRégulation2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 02:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
2 sept. 26, 17:22 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Supreme Court grant certiorari in a sports prediction market case in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
NJ petitioned the US Supreme Court to review the Third Circuit's ruling upholding a lower court's preliminary injunction against the state from enforcing gaming laws against Kalshi.
- Market will resolve YES if SCOTUS grants cert to hear the case before January 1, 2027 Eastern US time.
- If SCOTUS denies cert, market resolves NO.
- In all other scenarios than SCOTUS granting cert, the market will resolve NO.
- The market creator will not trade in this market.
- Nick Devor (@nickdevor_) on X
