Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 13:24 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 90.2%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 00:21 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By when will the Whitehouse acknowledge the existence of non-human intelligence?
Manifold MarketsWill a US President (or Presidential Task Force) confirm an extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the UK Prime Minister on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill non-human intelligence be confirmed before artificial general intelligence?
Manifold MarketsAndy Burnham out as UK's Prime Minister by which date?
FutuurNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if either the sitting US President or UK Prime Minister makes an official public statement confirming the existence of Non-Human Intelligence (NHI) at human-level intelligence or greater before end December 31, 2026.
- The statement must be made in an official capacity (e.g., press conference, official address, formal government announcement, or official written statement).
- Confirmation must explicitly acknowledge the existence of NHI, not merely discuss investigations, reports, or the possibility of NHI.
- The market resolves NO if no such confirmation occurs by the deadline.
- The disclosure movement argues that governments have secret information regarding UFOs and so-called "non-human intelligence".
