Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 71%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète30 oct. 22, 02:24 UTC1 janv. 51, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US population exceed 500 million by 2050?
Manifold MarketsBy end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
Manifold MarketsWill more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill West Virginia's population grow in 2026?
KalshiCanada's population Up or Down this year?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves according to the average of the top 3 population estimates of the United States by SEO optimization.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CulturePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?
- 40-64-2.0pt45.5%
- 65-89+1.0pt30.3%
- <40-5.5pt12.1%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 28,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3 k €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No98%
- Yes-2.0pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,8 k €
KALSHIWhat will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?
- Hurricane95%
- Canada / Canadian89%
- Tariff86%
+13 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWill Florida receive more visitors in 2026 than in 2025?
- No82%
- Yes18%
- Volume total
- 18,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 989,4 €
KALSHIWill Yellowstone record over 5 million recreation visits in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volume total
- 15,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 952,4 €
POLYMARKETPoilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
- No+1.5pt80.2%
- Yes-1.5pt19.8%
- Volume total
- 136,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 247 €
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
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- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?
- Who will be in the US News top 20 universities?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US population be >500M by 2050? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US population be >500M by 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US population be >500M by 2050? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2051.
- Comment Will the US population be >500M by 2050? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves according to the average of the top 3 population estimates of the United States by SEO optimization.