Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 heures
Obsolète30 janv. 23, 17:27 UTC1 févr. 33, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the United States have a Jewish president by end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill a Jewish Third Temple be built in Jerusalem by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the first First Gentleman of the USA be Jewish?
Manifold MarketsWill the Jewish population of the world be greater in 2030 than in 2020?
Manifold MarketsWill Usha Vance convert to Christianity before the election?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Presidential Election winner be Catholic?
Manifold MarketsRègles
They can be president for any length of time.
- They must be religiously jewish, not just culturally/genetically so.
- (They don't have to be highly observant.)
- This market closes right after inauguration day 2033.
