Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 65%
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète15 mai 23, 13:29 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the US Government issue 100-year bonds before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
KalshiWill the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill the US government take control of Anthropic or its major technologies before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill NU sell $250M in bonds for the Big Red Rebuild?
KalshiUS government budget balance in 2026
KalshiRègles
YES criteria:
- The U.S. Department of the Treasury or another authorised government entity officially announces the issuance of a 50-year bond.
- The bond must be open to the general public and institutional investors.
- Must be confirmed in reliable public source/s.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.4%-1.5pt100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 273,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,6 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.85%-26.0pt41%
- 4.82%-37.5pt39%
- 4.91%-12.5pt35%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.74% or above99%
- 4.72% or above99%
- 4.66% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.17% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.13% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6 k €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.35% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.53% or above99%
- 4.47% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,1 k €
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- SOFR for September 8, 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US Government issue 50-year bonds before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US Government issue 50-year bonds before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US Government issue 50-year bonds before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will the US Government issue 50-year bonds before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : YES criteria: