Will the US attack Fordow AGAIN before 2030?
CommoditiesOne-OffWeatherPolitiqueUS PoliticsGéopolitiqueMiddle East3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.9%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète22 juin 25, 06:32 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between June 22, 2025, and December 31, 2029, inclusive, the United States conducts a military attack on Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant.
- The attack must be publicly acknowledged by the U.S. government or reported by credible international news organizations.
- If no such attack occurs within this timeframe, the market will resolve to "No."
- On June 22, 2025, the United States launched airstrikes on Iran's Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, among other nuclear facilities, marking a significant escalation in Middle East tensions.
- (apnews.com) The Fordow facility, located near Qom, is a heavily fortified underground site central to Iran's uranium enrichment program.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US attack Fordow AGAIN before 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 18 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US attack Fordow AGAIN before 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US attack Fordow AGAIN before 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will the US attack Fordow AGAIN before 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria