Will the "Trump Nobel Peace Prize 2026" market ever reach 10% again?
QuarterlyPolitiquePolitique américaine2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.4%
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 26, 19:50 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?
Manifold Markets2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Kalshi[Kalshi] Nobel Peace Prize winner
Manifold Markets🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
PolymarketRègles
Parent market: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-trump-wins-the-nobel-peace-pri
- For this market to resolve YES, the parent market must reach 10% or higher at any point after January 19th and before it resolves.
- If the parent market resolves at 10% or higher, that also counts.
- Otherwise, this market resolves NO.