Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.3%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète12 août 26, 00:22 UTC30 juin 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
The scope of the Supreme Court decision in the Citizens United case is being tested by a Maine law voted overwhelmingly with over 75 per cent support, capping donations at 5 000 dollars and with other adjustments, and the law is now being tested in a court case destined to be heard by the Supreme Court.
- Resolves based on whatever action the Supreme Court takes, in the extremely unlikely case that the Supreme Court refuses the case or either side demurs proceding further at any stage, resolves according to the prevailing result, whether the Maine law being upheld, or being overturned.https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/
- https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/https://www.pressherald.com/2024/12/13/maine-sued-over-new-voter-approved-campaign-finance-limits/
- [link preview]Update 2026-08-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will extend the market close date to allow the Supreme Court case to mature and resolve naturally, rather than resolving early based on the fallback 'prevailing result' clause due to the original June 2027 timeline.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Supreme Court rule Maine can't limit PAC contributions? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 50% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Supreme Court rule Maine can't limit PAC contributions? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Supreme Court rule Maine can't limit PAC contributions? doit être résolu le 30 juin 2029.
- Comment Will the Supreme Court rule Maine can't limit PAC contributions? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The scope of the Supreme Court decision in the Citizens United case is being tested by a Maine law voted overwhelmingly with over 75 per cent support, capping donations at 5 000 dollars and with other adjustments, and the law is now being tested in a court case destined to be heard by the Supreme Court.