Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 66.2%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète19 juil. 26, 00:38 UTC31 déc. 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- Yes Resolution: This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2050 (11:59 PM UTC), the Square Kilometre Array Observatory (SKAO) or a peer-reviewed scientific paper using SKA data officially announces the confirmed detection of either a biosignature or a technosignature from an extraterrestrial source.
- No Resolution: This market will resolve to NO if no such confirmed detection has been officially announced by the cutoff date.
- Definitions:
- Biosignature: Chemical, physical, or atmospheric properties (such as out-of-equilibrium gases, dimethyl sulfide, or complex organic molecules) that provide scientific evidence of past or present extraterrestrial biological life.
- Technosignature: Any measurable signal or property (such as narrow-band radio transmissions or signs of astroengineering) providing evidence of advanced extraterrestrial technology.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Square Kilometer Array detect biosignature by the end of 2050 ? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 66% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Square Kilometer Array detect biosignature by the end of 2050 ? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Square Kilometer Array detect biosignature by the end of 2050 ? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2050.
- Comment Will the Square Kilometer Array detect biosignature by the end of 2050 ? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria