Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies?
One-OffTechBusiness & Corporate
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 85.6%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète24 août 24, 04:37 UTC1 janv. 47, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
At the time of Elon’s death, will the website/app formerly known as Twitter (currently called X, probably to be called something else) still be functioning at the time of Elon’s death?
- Resolves NO if the website goes down for at least 1 month, while Elon is alive.
- Down will be determined as at least 2 out of the following being true for the month:
- No new people can join the site (true of the average person).
- The average person is unable to post new content to their account.
- There is no functioning home page or timeline.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 86% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2047.
- Comment Will the site (once) called Twitter still be functioning when Elon dies? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : At the time of Elon’s death, will the website/app formerly known as Twitter (currently called X, probably to be called something else) still be functioning at the time of Elon’s death?