Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026
One-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionPolitique1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64.5%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète20 févr. 26, 21:47 UTC4 nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsWill Paul LePage win the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWhich party will win the 2026 US House election in Maine's 2nd District?
PredictItMaine's 2nd District margin of victory
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- The general election is November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if a Republican wins Maine's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the 2026 general election, and NO if a Democrat wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Maine Secretary of State's office at https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections/.
- With Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Golden not running again, there is an open seat for one of the most closely watched U.S. House races this year.
- The district voted for Trump by 9.5% in 2024 while re-electing Golden by less than one percent, making it the most presidentially-Republican congressional district held by a Democrat in the country, and is considered one of the best opportunities in non-redistricted seats for a Republican pickup.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026 ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026 doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria