Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026
One-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionPolitique8j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 02:41 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleOui 58%
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binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète20 févr. 26, 21:47 UTC4 nov. 26, 01:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- The general election is November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if a Republican wins Maine's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the 2026 general election, and NO if a Democrat wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Maine Secretary of State's office at https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections/.
- With Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Golden not running again, there is an open seat for one of the most closely watched U.S. House races this year.
- The district voted for Trump by 9.5% in 2024 while re-electing Golden by less than one percent, making it the most presidentially-Republican congressional district held by a Democrat in the country, and is considered one of the best opportunities in non-redistricted seats for a Republican pickup.
