Will the Republican candidate win the 2028 US presidential election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleJ.D. Vance vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 61.5%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète23 nov. 25, 20:28 UTC10 nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
When the primaries for both parties' candidates conclude, the combination of the Republican and Democratic nominees selected by the primaries will begin to function as a regular binary market, and all other options will resolve N/A and will be regarded as irrelevant for the remaining duration of the market.
- If the Republican nominee listed on the option wins the presidential election, the chosen option shall resolve YES.
- If the Democratic nominee (or a third party/independent candidate) wins, the chosen option shall resolve NO.
- The 9 initial combinations of candidates provided here are based on the current betting favorites on Polymarket.
- Anyone may add a combination to this market.
- The format for adding an option to the market is as follows:
