Will the proposed California wealth tax take substantive effect?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 79.4%
Prévisionnistes
24
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 26, 16:47 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiWill Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
PolymarketWill California’s billionaire tax take effect?
KalshiBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketWill the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
KalshiRègles
This question will resolve YES if and only if the "2026 Billionaires Tax Act" gets on the ballot, passes, and is upheld by the courts (any legal challenges fail) such that the tax has actually taken effect, and significant (at least $1B) revenue has been collected, by December 31, 2027.
- If legal challenges succeed in striking down the act, or are unresolved by December 31, 2027 such that the tax is suspended and hasn't taken effect yet and its eventual effect is uncertain, the question resolves NO.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the proposed California wealth tax take substantive effect? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the proposed California wealth tax take substantive effect? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the proposed California wealth tax take substantive effect? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will the proposed California wealth tax take substantive effect? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This question will resolve YES if and only if the "2026 Billionaires Tax Act" gets on the ballot, passes, and is upheld by the courts (any legal challenges fail) such that the tax has actually taken effect, and significant (at least $1B) revenue has been collected, by December 31, 2027.