Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionGéopolitique1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.7%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète7 juil. 26, 18:13 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
President Trump (or the sitting U. S. President) orders or installs military, DHS, ICE agents, FBI, secret service, federal agents or policing personnel, National Guard, a response force, or any police or military presence at any polling places in November midterm elections.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, during the November 2026 U.S. midterm elections (including early voting periods and Election Day on November 3, 2026), the sitting U.S. President or the federal executive branch orders or installs a military, DHS, ICE, FBI, Secret Service, CBP, National Guard, or other federal law enforcement or policing presence at or immediately outside any active polling place or official ballot drop-box location.
- To resolve YES, the following must occur:
- There must be a documented executive order, presidential directive, or confirmed deployment of these federal forces or agents at a polling place or drop-box site.
- The presence must consist of federal personnel, federalized National Guard, or state National Guard deployed under federal direction (Title 10 status).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : President Trump (or the sitting U. S. President) orders or installs military, DHS, ICE agents, FBI, secret service, federal agents or policing personnel, National Guard, a response force, or any police or military presence at any polling places in November midterm elections.